- Housing slowdown or even collapse
- Increased political pressure if a Labour government were elected. The Coalition has lost 22 Newspoll opinion polls in a row and Labour is calling for a banking royal commission which would certainly shake up the status quo.
- Labour could consider creation of another state owned bank to force competition and return any profits to the government. New Zealand already created KiwiBank, a state-owned bank run by the NZ Post Office. Australia could easily do the same.
- New competition from cashed up digital behemoth, examples are Amazon, Apple, Google and Facebook, they have a combined market cap of US$2.49 trillion. They could offer better digital experience, lower interest rates and they have millions to spend on lobby groups to overcome any obstacles.
- Blockchain based digital currency allows secure store of and transfer of value at a fraction of the cost, it has potential for massive disruption to banking. It allows for transactions to be transparent and visible to all concerned parties, offering anonymity when needed. Similarly, it reduces the risk of fraud, as records are unalterable after accounts have been settled.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-11-27/how-bad-are-our-banks/9194984?smid=Page:%20ABC%20News-Facebook_Organic&WT.tsrc=Facebook_Organic&sf174349147=1
http://www.theage.com.au/comment/banking-inquiry-why-the-big-four-still-have-a-stranglehold-post-gfc-20171125-gzsygu.html
Bank inquiry almost certain after Nationals secure crucial second vote:
http://www.afr.com/news/bank-inquiry-almost-certain-after-nationals-secure-crucial-second-vote-20171126-gztb4h
Since the financial crisis, Australian banks have forked out more than $1 billion in fines and compensation from rorting their own clients:
https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/4310476-A-Summary-of-Bank-Transgressions-During-the-Past.html
Report; What is price stability? Market design in the Australian banking sector:
https://percapita.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/What-Price-Stabiliity.pdf
Update 6/7/2018 - The drop in NPS for the Big 4 since Royal commission - Reputation at lowest level recorded:
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