Thursday, 7 June 2018

Moore's law - 50 CPU cores by 2021?

From https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Xeon we have the following data:
YearProcess nmCores
20011801
20021301
2004901
2005902
2006652
2007454
2010458
20113210
20132212
20142218
20151422
20171428

Intel Xeon currently has 28 CPU cores and if trend continues then by 2021 we should have 50 CPU cores. With commodity two CPU server in 1RU we can potentially have 100 CPU cores. With virtualisation a 3:1 vCPU:pCPU ratio can have 300 vCPUs on such a server...assuming average VM is 2 CPUs then 150 VMs on 1RU. MIT Technology Review suggests that after 2021 it will it will not be economically efficient to reduce the size of silicon transistors any further. The 5 nm node was once assumed by some experts to be the end of Moore's law. So lets enjoy it while it lasts! 😊

Intel Roadmap - Cannon Lake CPU line built on the 10nm in 2019:

AMD Roadmap:


Update 3/4/2019 - Intel Xeon Platinum 9282 announced with 56 CPU cores:
https://www.anandtech.com/show/14146/intel-xeon-scalable-cascade-lake-deep-dive-now-with-optane
Now a 2 CPU server can have 112 CPU cores and 3TB of memory, assuming average VM is 2 vCPUs then type of server can potentially support 150-200 VMs:
Intel Xeon Platinum 9200 Family
(Cascade Lake AP)
CPUCoresBase
Freq
Turbo
Freq
L3
Cache
TDPPrice
Platinum 928256 C / 112 T2.6 GHz3.8 GHz77.0 MB400 Warm
Platinum 924248 C / 96 T2.3 GHz3.8 GHz71.5 MB350 Wleg
Platinum 922232 C / 64 T2.3 GHz3.7 GHz71.5 MB250 Wfoot
Platinum 922132 C / 64 T2.1 GHz3.7 GHz71.5 MB250 Wkidney

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