http://static.googleusercontent.com/external_content/untrusted_dlcp/research.google.com/en//archive/disk_failures.pdf
From Backblaze study:
- The company is storing 75 petabytes of customer data on more than 25,000 consumer-grade hard drives.
- It has been in business for 5 years and 74 percent of the hard drives it has ever deployed are still running.
- Annual failure rate for drives is 5.1 percent for the first 18 months, 1.4 percent for the next 18 months, and 11.8 percent during years three and four.



Google study:
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